BTC/EUR, daily
The bot buys when a day closes above the upper band (50-day SMA × 1.02). The lower band (SMA × 0.98) is the trend-exit line.
Bot status
…- Trend-following: buys when BTC closes above its 50-day average (+2% buffer).
- Trend exit. Sells if a day closes 2% below the 50-day average, even at a loss.
- Crash stop. Sells if price falls 3 ATR (average daily ranges) below entry.
- Spot BTC only. No leverage, no futures.
Trade history
| Date | Side | Price (€) | Result |
|---|
Macro & on-chain watch
🧪 Shadow signals, being tested. These are logged twice a day and checked weekly against the bot's past trades. The bot does not use them yet.
Big-print pressure
…Bond yields, the dollar and liquidity stress, as a hint that money printing may be coming.
On-chain & derivatives
…Market-wide Bitcoin data: holder behaviour, exchange flows, leverage and ETF flows.
Backtest
Tested on unseen data with fees included. Honest verdict: just holding did better on raw return, but the bot had a much smaller drawdown. Past performance means nothing for the future.